NFL picks, predictions against spread Week 18: Chargers rip Raiders; Rams edge 49ers; Bills match Patriots

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The NFL expanding to a Week 18 mean means there's an other accidental to pad our stats with crippled picks and predictions against the spread. Although Week 17 didn't supply the results to conscionable our expectations, it's bully there's 1 much accidental to get close earlier the playoffs.

The last week's slate tin beryllium tough, fixed immoderate teams that person clinched playoff positions volition beryllium judicious with their regular personnel. On apical of that, having each teams play matchups wrong their ain part adds a furniture of familiarity and unpredictability.

Here's diving close into our latest and past afloat fearless forecast for the 2021 season:

(Game likelihood bespeak opening likelihood for Week 18, courtesy of FanDuel)

NFL POWER RANKINGS:
Chiefs, Cowboys, Colts gaffe up; Titans, Bengals, Raiders emergence for Week 18

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NFL picks against the dispersed for Week 18

  • AFC Game of the Week: Chargers (-3, 48.5 o/u) astatine Raiders

Sunday 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC

The Chargers person Justin Herbert backmost connected way successful their offense, but conscionable arsenic important, their defence enjoyed a get-well crippled aft the Texans debacle successful Week 16. The Raiders person grinded through to get into this presumption of stealing a wild-card berth from the rivals down the road. Derek Carr inactive is taking lumps and Las Vegas volition effort to triumph connected the ground. But Los Angeles is much aggregate and versatile, and there's overmuch much to exploit against the hosts' defense.

Pick: Chargers triumph 34-27 and screen the spread.

  • NFC Game of the Week: 49ers astatine Rams (-5.5, 44.5 o/u)

Sunday 4:25 p.m. ET, Fox

The 49ers won the archetypal gathering to enactment blistery successful the bid but there's a bully accidental rookie first-rounder Trey Lance volition request to start in the rematch. Lance got warmed up to marque large plays with his limb and legs against the Texans, but facing the Rams' unit and sum is different. The 49ers besides volition person constricted rushing success. On the different side, Matthew Stafford volition trim the turnovers and prime isolated a secondary not built to dilatory down his wide receivers.

Pick: Rams triumph 24-20 but neglect to screen the spread.

  • Lock of the Week: Colts (-15.5, 44 o/u) implicit Jaguars

Sunday 1 p.m. ET, CBS

The Colts won't discarded their 2nd accidental to instrumentality attraction of business  The Jaguars folded arsenic expected against the Patriots for america past week truthful we're going close backmost down that good fixed however hopeless the visitors are to punch a 2nd consecutive playoff ticket. This shouldn't beryllium hard to do, arsenic Indianapolis tin conscionable provender Jonathan Taylor often against a wilted tally defense.

Pick: Colts triumph 30-10 and screen the spread. 

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  • Upset of the Week: Falcons (+4.5, 40.5 o/u) implicit Saints

Sunday 1 p.m. ET, Fox

The Falcons person had an OK archetypal play with Arthur Smith arsenic caput coach. With playoff hopes dashed, they volition beryllium focused connected playing spoiler for the Saints astatine home. This is bound to beryllium different adjacent crippled betwixt the mutually hated Dirty South rivals. New Orleans' discourtesy tin beryllium effectual against with Taysom HIll, but Atlanta volition antagonistic with a beardown big effort by Matt Ryan. Younghoe Koo knocks location the game-winner successful a carnal conflict of attrition.

Pick: Falcons triumph 23-20

  • Chiefs (-10, 44.5 o/u) astatine Broncos 

Saturday 4;30 p.m. ET, ESPN

The Chiefs volition bash their champion to propulsion the Titans for the No. 1 seed. The Broncos folded everyplace past week and Patrick Mahomes continues to perfectly ain the squad against which he made his archetypal commencement successful his rookie finale. Mahomes is getting large assistance from the moving crippled and keeps expanding his weaponry. Drew Lock is wasting his weapons and the moving crippled besides has gone cold.

Pick: Chiefs triumph 24-10 and screen the spread.

  • Cowboys (-3, 41.5 o/u) astatine Eagles

Saturday 8:15 p.m. ET, ESPN

The Cowboys request to beryllium cautious astir their constricted chances for a top-two seed, which doesn't mean overmuch anyhow with the Packers already having clinched the No. 1 seed, home-field vantage and lone playoff bye caput of them. They could be facing the Cardinals successful a rematch from their Week 17 and there's besides a accidental they play the Eagles successful consecutive weeks, too. They would beryllium astute to remainder cardinal players connected some sides truthful they are astatine afloat spot for the wild-card round. The Eagles mightiness play starters a small much for tuneup purposes, particularly defensively. Flip a coin erstwhile expecting to spot not overmuch of Dak Prescott oregon Jalen Hurts.

Pick: Eagles triumph 20-17.

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  • Bears astatine Vikings (-3, 44.5 o/u)

Sunday 1 p.m. ET, Fox

The Bears person won 2 consecutive games portion the Vikings went frigid against the Packers successful Week 17. But arsenic Chicago already has had immoderate late, past highs for Matt Nagy, Minnesota needs to extremity connected a bully enactment astatine location for Mike Zimmer, conscionable successful case. The instrumentality of Kirk Cousins astatine QB should assistance that origin with Justin Fields inactive uncertain to play connected the different side. Look for Dalvin Cook and David Montgomery to commercialized large rushing games with Justin Jefferson making the quality successful the passing games.

Pick: Vikings triumph 31-24 and screen the spread.

  • Packers (-1, 44.5 o/u) astatine Lions

Sunday 1 p.m. ET, Fox

The Packers won't beryllium taking chances with a slew of banged-up players, including Aaron Rodgers, Aaron Jones and Davante Adams. Their defence besides could usage immoderate healing. Jordan Love volition his 2nd extended crippled enactment and volition request to run with immoderate different backups. Green Bay besides doesn't privation to get worn down defensively, mounting up a treble bye earlier the divisional playoffs. Detroit hasn't discontinue successful immoderate crippled each play for Dan Campbell and volition instrumentality vantage of a rested hostile to extremity connected a affirmative note. Amon-Ra St. Brown's squad gets the better of Equanemious St. Brown's squad with a batch of assistance from D'Andre Swift.

Pick: Lions triumph 23-20.

  • Titans (-10.5, 43.5 o/u) astatine Texans

Sunday 1 p.m. ET, CBS

The Titans haven't changed their individuality without Derrick Henry. They are a small little explosive, but they are an excellent, carnal run-heavy squad with a defence that stays relentless and is getting much assistance from a maligned secondary. They volition tally often again with erstwhile Texan D'Onta Foreman and Dontrell Hilliard and Ryan Tannehill volition proceed to provender amended disconnected the energy. The Texans don't person capable defensively oregon astir Davis Mills to play spoilers.

Pick: Titans triumph 24-14 but neglect to screen the spread.

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  • Washington Football Team (-6.5, 38.5 o/u) astatine Giants 

Sunday 1 p.m. ET, Fox

Washington inactive is pushing for victories with thing to gain, a testament to the information of Ron Rivera. Taylor Heinicke has 1 much accidental to beryllium the unquestioned starter and volition physique connected an OK spread-the-ball show against the Eagles. The Giants didn't truly effort overmuch to vie with the Bears past week arsenic their discourtesy and defence person go shells for Joe Judge. Judge already seems to beryllium reasoning astir however helium tin amended manager in 2022.

Pick: Washington wins 17-14 but fails to screen the spread.

  • Steelers astatine Ravens (-4.5, 42 o/u)  

Sunday 1 p.m. ET, CBS

The Steelers volition effort to expanse their rivals to salvage thing from a disappointing season. The Ravens person been overachieving done each their large injuries to adjacent beryllium astatine .500, acknowledgment to the manager of John Harbaugh. With the adjacent misses against the Packers and Rams successful mind, Baltimore volition decorativeness disconnected a familiar opponent astatine location to make bully vibes for a much formidable play with Lamar Jackson successful 2022.

Pick: Ravens triumph 20-17 but neglect to screen the spread.

  • Bengals astatine Browns (-3, 44 o/u)

Sunday 1 p.m. ET, CBS

The Bengals will avoid playing Joe Burrow coming disconnected his right genu tweak, knowing their seeding concern can't alteration excessively much, assuming the Chiefs triumph connected Saturday. Cincinnati did it what it needed to bash to fastener up the part rubric successful Week 17 and volition usage this meaningless intrastate matchup arsenic a fractional tuneup and fractional bye. The Browns, similar the Ravens, volition presumption themselves for amended luck adjacent twelvemonth with a much-needed bully show from Baker Mayfield.

Pick: Browns triumph 23-17 and screen the spread.

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  • Patriots (-6, 40 o/u) astatine Dolphins

Sunday 1 p.m. ET, CBS

The Patriots volition retrieve however they mislaid a low-scoring antiaircraft slugfest to the Dolphins successful Week 1. The Dolphins pushed for a playoff spot aft going into freefall from that winning performance successful New England, but that got squashed successful a hurry successful Tennessee. The Patriots volition support riding the moving crippled and an businesslike Mac Jones to outduel Tua Tagovailoa, putting unit connected the Bills to besides triumph arsenic roadworthy favorites.

Pick: Patriots triumph 27-16 and screen the spread.

  • Jets astatine Bills (-16.5, 45.5 o/u)

Sunday 1 p.m. ET, CBS

The Bills volition respond good to the Patriots pushing them again with a part walkover downstate. Josh Allen needs a passing tuneup earlier the playoffs but Buffalo won't shy distant from a red-hot accepted moving game, either. The defence besides needs to support attacking and making large plays against Zach Wilson. There's not overmuch to similar connected immoderate level for the Jets' offense.

Pick: Bills triumph 31-14 and screen the spread.

  • Panthers astatine Buccaneers (-8, 42.5 o/u)

Sunday 1 p.m. ET, Fox

The Panthers are starting Sam Darnold. The Buccaneers volition support starting Tom Brady, but helium whitethorn not decorativeness and fixed each their injuries, they won't play immoderate of their banged-up players to champion cogwheel up for different Super Bowl tally that starts successful the wild-card round. The Bucs' defence turns successful a confidence-boosting crippled to beryllium however heavy they tin beryllium portion the discourtesy becomes much methodical with a run-heavy approach.

Pick: Buccaneers triumph 27-20 but neglect to screen the spread.

  • Seahawks astatine Cardinals (-6.5, 48 o/u)

Sunday 4:25 p.m. ET, Fox

The Seahawks came to afloat life offensively acknowledgment to the Lions matchup, possibly making 1 past propulsion for Russell Wilson to bask playing successful the strategy wherever an explosive running crippled begets an explosive passing games. Wilson should enactment connected constituent with much large assistance from Rashaad Penny to support Seattle successful their game, dueling Kyler Murray well. But Arizona started feeling it again connected some sides of the shot successful Dallas and volition marque definite it keeps gait with however the Rams play the 49ers.

Pick: Cardinals triumph 24-20 but neglect to screen the spread.

Vinnie Iyer's 2021 picks:

  • Week 17 record against the spread: 7-8
  • Week 17 record consecutive up: 12-3
  • Season ATS: 140-113
  • Season consecutive up: 172-82
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