The Genesis Invitational — previously the Genesis Open — has at all times been top-of-the-line occasions on the PGA Tour schedule, however this yr options maybe the perfect non-major subject that we have now seen within the final decade. 9 of the top-10gamers on the earth will tee it up in Los Angeles at Riviera Nation Membership this week, with Webb Simpson being the lone exception. The stacked subject signifies that we’re going to see some glorious worth on outright bets as soon as we get previous the favorites of Rory McIlroy (7.5/1), Justin Thomas (9/1), and Jon Rahm (10/1).
Riviera Nation Membership performs at an extended 7,350-yard, Par-71 course that’s going to require gamers to go driver heavy off the tee all week. The three Par 5s are all gettable holes, whereas the driveable Par-4 10th is without doubt one of the greatest brief Par 4s in all of golf. Off the tee, gamers is not going to solely must be lengthy, however they may also must form drives in each instructions. The tough at Riviera isnt the deepest that effectively see on tour, however the kikuyu grass is sticky and might result in some brutal lies. Lastly, the inexperienced complexes at Riviera could be punishing should you short-side your self, and getting up and down there could be among the many hardest on tour.
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Its going to be very tempting to load up on the longer hitters this week, however wanting again on the historical past of this occasion, we surprisingly see a ton of shorter hitters who can discover fairways and stand up and down across the greens. SteveStricker, Invoice Haas, and AaronBaddeleyall have received right here inside the previous 10 years, so whereas off-the-tee stats are undoubtedly essential, we completely can’t low cost the brief sport.
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Strokes Gained: Off the Tee
Strokes Gained: Across the Greens
Par-Four Scoring (450-475 yards)
Genesis Invitational Betting Advice, Odds
Outright Bets to Think about
*odds through DraftKings Sportsbook
Bubba Watson 25/1
Half of the battle in golf betting is to not overthink apparent conditions, and betting on an in-form Watson at Riviera at 25/1 in as apparent because it will get. Bubba has received this occasion 3 times and is coming off finishes of T6 and T3 in his previous two occasions at Torrey Pines and TPC Scottsdale. His stats are all lining up for what Im concentrating on this week: He ranks ninth in “SG: OTT”and 21stin “SG: APP” on the season. I used to be tempted to start out my card with Jon Rahm or Dustin Johnson, however there’s simply an excessive amount of worth to move up on Bubba at a course at which he merely dominates.
Brooks Koepka 26/1
The second wager that Im not going to overthink this week is betting Koepka at 26/1. Whereas Koepka hasnt flashed his greatest kind since getting back from a knee damage, he has slowly proven enchancment in every match hes performed in 2020. Koepka is simply too gifted of a participant to be priced at over 25/1 in any match, and the elite high quality of this subject ought to assist to deliver out the perfect in a big-tournament participant like Koepka. Whenever you have a look at what’s required to play effectively right here — off-the-tee and brief sport — its straightforward to make a case for the four-time Main winner.
Justin Rose 43/1
I couldnt consider my eyes after I noticed Rose listed at 43/1. Whereas Rose has but to indicate a lot of something in 2020, He shouldn’t be above 30/1 in any subject through which he performs. Rose is without doubt one of the greatest ball strikers on the earth when his sport is on, and he posted a T4 end the final time he performed this occasion in 2017. Whether or not youre a fan of Rose, you must have a look at him as one of many high worth bets of the week contemplating the place different gamers in his class,comparable to Patrick Cantlay (17/1), Tony Finau (22/1), Hideki Matsuyama (26/1), Jason Day (35/1), and Adam Scott (35/1), are priced.
Max Homa 110/1
I favored Homa lots final week at Pebble Seaside, and he got here by way of on the T20 wager with a T14 exhibiting. Im going proper again to the California native once more this week at a course that, on paper, suits him even higher than Pebble Seaside. Homa claimed his lone PGA Tour win at Quail Hole final yr, which has loads of crossover traits as Riviera when it comes to being demanding off of the tee and options loads of lengthy Par 4s. Homa is taking part in probably the most constant golf of his profession proper now on the again of seven consecutive made cuts and three straight top-15 finishes.